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Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Mickey Mouse Financial Club

Bond Rating? What Bond Rating?

How many times were the residents of Templeton reassured that the Town would have a Bond Rating restored BEFORE the elementary school project went out to bid?

The elementary school project has gone out to bid. 

Does the Town of Templeton have a bond rating?

NO! 

memorandum – OFFICE OF THE TOWN ADMINISTRATOR
TO:                        SelectBoard
FROM:            Carter Terenzini, Town Administrator
RE:                        Upcoming Borrowing
DATE:            November 1, 2017
CC:                        C. Richardson; K. Pontbriand; M. Carney


Our financial advisor has had preliminary conversations with Moody’s Investors Service relative to our seeking a rating for the Bond Anticipation Notes we are about to seek bids on.  For Municipal notes the ratings are as follows:
           
                                                            MIG 1, best quality
MIG 2, high quality
MIG 3, favorable quality; and
MIG 4, adequate quality.

The initial reaction is that we will not be able to obtain a MIG 1 rating.  There is a strong possibility we can achieve a MIG 2 rating but that is never certain until one formally submits the documentation for review.  Even if we achieve a MIG 2 rating it is at least .25% above the interest rate of a borrowing rated MIG 1 rating.  Our advisor has recommended, and I agree, that we not seek a formal bond rating at this time but instead finance our needs through unrated bank notes. 

The maximum for this in this calendar year will be $10,000,000 which is more than enough to cover our needs ($5M BAN, $1M Police, $2.3 Sewer, $1.7 new money).  This gives us $5.4M+/- for the school in CY ’18.  We will then seek an additional $10,000,000 in CY 2019 and continue to work toward an acceptable bond rating as your financial picture slowly improves.

This approach will take continual monitoring of your cash flow needs and does not deflate the opposition to the projects based upon their concerns over our financial condition.  However, it lets us get the projects underway, is not a negative of having submitted and not achieving a prime rating, buys us some time to improve how your financial condition is viewed by others, and keeps the pressure on to continue to make – and effect – the hard-financial choices that are needed to bring about longer term financial stability.

With respect to the actual bonding itself, Moody’s indicated that the underlying rating would be an A2.  Moody’s could not get the Town to the highest note rating due to the amount of debt authorized and the lack of a cash coverage ratio to pay the notes off if you couldn’t issue Bonds.  This is a highly unlikely scenario, but that’s their criteria.  For your information I have attached a graphic for the Moody’s Bond rating system so you can see how A2 would compare to the overall rating system for investment-grade issues.










Moody's
Rating Description


Long-term
Short-term


Aaa
P-1
Prime
Investment-grade


Aa1
High grade


Aa2


Aa3


A1
Upper medium grade


A2


A3
P-2


Baa1
Lower medium grade


Baa2
P-3


Baa3




 

3 comments:

  1. hmm...

    "This approach will take continual monitoring of your cash flow needs and does not deflate the opposition to the projects based upon their concerns over our financial condition. However, it lets us get the projects underway, is not a negative of having submitted and not achieving a prime rating, buys us some time to improve how your financial condition is viewed by others, ..."

    You think?

    DOES NOT DEFLATE THE OPPOSITION TO THE PROJECTS BASED ON THEIR CONCERNS OVER OUR FINANCIAL CONDITION?

    REALLY?

    " Even if we achieve a MIG 2 rating it is at least .25% above the interest rate of a borrowing rated MIG 1 rating."

    What is the interest rate of a MIG 1 rating?

    What is the interest rate on "UNRATED BANK NOTES"?

    THIS IS THE PATH TO FINANCIAL SOLVENCY FOR THE TOWN OF TEMPLETON?


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  2. So how long are we going to commingle the borrowings???? How does this conform to the recently prescribed financial policies?

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    Replies
    1. In order to even begin to be solvent the town needs to live within it's means. When is that going to happen ? Are the BOS planning to run the town on borrowed money ? With no improvement in the amount of revenue we take in, it is pretty obvious we cannot even pay for what we have now. Using free cash to maintain the budget, as in backfilling budget items, gets us no place except where we have been before. What are the DOR members thinking ?? Helping the town get deeper in the hole is not what most of us thought would happen when they entered the picture. How does going backward help us go forward ? This is my opinion as a taxpayer and home owner in the Town of Templeton.

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